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The Role of Central Banks in a Changing Climate

The Role of Central Banks in a Changing Climate

10/30/2025
Yago Dias
The Role of Central Banks in a Changing Climate

Climate change is no longer a distant concern; it has become a driving force reshaping economies and financial markets. Central banks worldwide are recognizing that rising temperatures, extreme weather events, and the transition to a low-carbon future pose major macro-financial risk to their core mandates. From interest rate decisions to supervisory frameworks, central banks are adopting innovative measures to safeguard price and financial stability in an era of unprecedented environmental change.

Why Central Banks Are Embracing Climate Action

Traditionally, central banks focused on inflation and unemployment targets. However, sudden shifts in asset values during rapid decarbonization and persistent supply shocks from droughts or storms directly influence inflation and output. For instance, a severe flood can disrupt agricultural supply chains, pushing food prices higher and complicating monetary policy. Recognizing these dynamics, central banks now include climate risks in their financial stability assessments.

Climate-sensitive monetary policy is emerging as a central strategy. By acknowledging that weather extremes can spark both physical and transition impacts, monetary authorities can adjust their policy tools to mitigate systemic risk before it crystallizes.

Expanding Mandates and Political Influences

Most central bank charters emphasize price stability and financial system health. Yet, as climate risks intensify, many institutions have expanded their legal mandates or interpreted existing ones to include environmental considerations. The European Central Bank (ECB), for example, explicitly integrates climate scenarios into its strategic reviews, while other institutions like the U.S. Federal Reserve remain cautious about formal mandate changes.

Political context plays a pivotal role. In jurisdictions where public and governmental pressure for climate action is strong, central banks move more decisively. Conversely, countries with competing priorities may see more tempered engagement. This interplay of technical mandates and political drivers shapes the pace and scope of central bank climate initiatives.

Climate-Sensitive Monetary Policy Tools

Central banks have adapted traditional tools to account for environmental risks and incentivize green finance. Key approaches include:

  • Interest Rate Adjustments: Incorporating climate risk premia into policy rates to reflect changing risk profiles of carbon-intensive sectors.
  • Asset Purchases and Portfolio Tilting: Rebalancing quantitative easing programs toward green bonds and away from carbon-intensive assets.
  • Collateral Frameworks: Granting preferential treatment—lower haircuts and higher eligibility—to low-carbon or environmentally certified securities.
  • Green Liquidity Facilities: Establishing targeted lending windows for banks financing renewable energy or climate adaptation projects.

By leveraging these tools, central banks can subtly steer financial markets toward sustainable investments without overt fiscal intervention.

Supervisory and Regulatory Innovations

Beyond monetary operations, banking supervision has become a frontline for climate action. Regulators now require banks to conduct standardized climate risk disclosure and to participate in climate stress tests that simulate long-term physical and transition scenarios. These exercises reveal vulnerabilities in loan portfolios and encourage institutions to strengthen risk management.

Moreover, central banks are urging the adoption of common taxonomies and reporting frameworks. By harmonizing definitions of green assets and risk metrics, authorities aim to reduce data fragmentation and improve market transparency. This collective push enhances investors’ ability to compare and price climate risks accurately.

Global Coordination and Case Studies

International cooperation amplifies individual efforts. The Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS) now includes over 140 members—central banks and supervisors committed to sharing best practices and research. Despite this progress, notable gaps remain: the U.S. Federal Reserve’s departure in early 2025 highlighted divergent national approaches.

  • European Central Bank: Leader in integrating climate into both monetary policy and supervisory stress tests.
  • Bank of England: Pioneered climate scenario analysis and published climate change adaptation reports.
  • People’s Bank of China: Developing green bond collateral frameworks and piloting climate risk guidelines.
  • Lagging Institutions: Federal Reserve, Bank of Russia, and certain emerging market central banks have been slower to adopt formal climate measures.

Challenges and Controversies

Central banks face significant obstacles in their climate missions. Reliable data on physical risks and transition pathways remain scarce or inconsistent, forcing regulators to rely on proxies and self-reporting in the short term. Furthermore, operational trade-offs abound: balancing market neutrality against targeted green interventions can undermine perceived independence.

The debate over prioritization intensifies when inflation spikes. Between 2021 and 2023, some authorities delayed climate initiatives to focus on controlling consumer prices, prompting critics to question whether environmental objectives can be fully reconciled with short-term stabilization goals.

Future Directions and Debates

Looking ahead, central banks must navigate deepening debates over neutrality versus activism. Should monetary authorities strictly manage risks, or actively direct capital toward decarbonization? The answer will shape the evolution of financial markets and the credibility of central bank independence.

Innovations on the horizon include more granular climate scenario modeling, dynamic haircuts linked to carbon intensities, and enhanced coordination with fiscal authorities. As the global community strives for net-zero emissions, central banks will play an increasingly visible role in steering economies toward sustainable growth.

Ultimately, the journey to integrate climate considerations into monetary and supervisory frameworks is complex and ongoing. Yet, by embracing rigorous data standards, fostering international collaboration, and judiciously deploying policy tools, central banks can help build resilient financial systems that thrive in a changing climate.

Yago Dias

About the Author: Yago Dias

Yago Dias